POCTI 1999

Voters, Policymakers and the Economy: an Analysis of the Portuguese Case

Research project funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (POCTI/ECO/1999/32609)

Research team

- Linda Gongalves Veiga (Principle Investigator) - NIPE, University of Minho, Portugal.

- Francisco José Veiga - NIPE, University of Minho, Portugal.

- Henry Chappell (external consultant) - University of South Carolina, USA.

- Martin Paldam (external consultant) - University of Aarhus, Denmark.

Objectives

The main objective of this Project is to determine if Portuguese voters hold political entities/parties responsible for the evolution of the economy.

It also tries to determine if:

1) voters evaluations of economic performance are prospective or retrospective;

2) voters hold incumbents responsible for the macroeconomic situation of the country or for their personal conditions;

3) if the evaluations of incumbents’ performance takes into account their ideology and support at the Parliament.

Funding: 30 000 euros (Ref: POCTI/1999/ECO/32609)

Project's duration: December 2000 to March 2002

Results:

Working Papers:

- Veiga, Linda and Veiga, Francisco, "Popularity functions, partisan effects and support in Parliament", NIPE WP - 8/2001.

- Veiga, Linda and Veiga, Francisco, "The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal", NIPE WP - 6/2001.

Publications in journals without refereeing process:

Veiga, Linda e Veiga, Francisco, "Popularidade: dez anos é muito tempo," Economia Pura, n. 31, December, 2000, 68-72.

Conference Proceedings:

- Veiga, Linda and Veiga, Francisco, "The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal," Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society, Sorbonne, Paris, April 2001 (CD-ROM).

- Veiga, Linda and Coelho, César, (2001), "Ciclos político-económicos e o poder local", IV conference about the Portuguese economy, Centro de Investigação sobre Economia Portuguesa (CISEP), ISEG, Lisbon, April 2001, 195-208.

Papers were presented in the following conferences:

- Annual Meeting of the Public Choice Society, San Diego - USA, March 2002.

- IV Conference on the Portuguese economy, Centro de Investigação sobre a Economia Portuguesa (CISEP), ISEG, Lisbon, April 2001.

- Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society, Paris , April 2001.

- Annual Meeting of the Public Choice Society, Houston - USA, March 2001.

Master thesis supervisions:

- César Alberto Campos Coelho initiated in December 2001, under the supervision of Linda G. Veiga and Francisco Veiga, his master thesis on "Political Business Cycles and the Local Power" (Master in Economic Policy - EEG, UM).

- Cláudia Ribeiro initiated in March 2002, under the supervision of Linda G. Veiga, her master thesis on "Voting functions: a study of the Portuguese reality" (Master in Industrial Economics - EEG, UM).

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