PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION
Full name: Ricardo Jorge Magalhães de Abreu Santos Sousa.
Birth date: October 16th, 1976.
Birth place: Ponte de Lima, Portugal.
Nationality: Portuguese.
Civil status: Unmarried partnership with two children.
E-mail: rjsousa@eeg.uminho.pt; rjsousa@alumni.lse.ac.uk
EDUCATION
2005-2008: PhD in Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science.
(Thesis title: “Consumption, Housing and Financial Wealth, Asset Returns, and Monetary Policy”;
Committee: Prof. Oliver Linton (LSE), Dr. Alexander Michaelides (LSE), Dr. Christian Julliard (LSE), and Dr. Kevin Sheppard (University of Oxford)).
2003-2005: MRes in Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science.
1999-2002: Master (MPhil) in Economic Policy, University of Minho.
1995-1999: BSc in Economics, University of Minho.
ACADEMIC EXPERIENCE
2008-present: Assistant Professor, Department of Economics of the University of Minho.
Academic year 2010-2011, Computational Methods Applied to Economics (MPhil/PhD in Economics), Financial Economics (MSc in Monetary, Banking and Financial Economics), Macroeconomics II (BSc in Economics); Mathematical Economics I (BSc in Economics).
Academic year 2009-2010, Mathematical Economics (MSc/PhD in Economics), Monetary Economics (MSc in Monetary, Banking and Financial Economics), Financial Economics (MSc in Monetary, Banking and Financial Economics), Mathematical Economics I (BSc in Economics).
Academic year 2008-2009, Advanced Macroeconomics II (MSc in Economics), Mathematical Economics (MSc in Economics), Complements of Macroeconomics (MSc in Economics, Markets and Public Policies), Monetary and Financial Economics (BSc in Economics), Macroeconomics II (BSc in Economics), Mathematical Economics I (BSc in Economics), and Economics and Monetary Policy (BSc in Management).
2006-2008: Teaching Fellow, Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science.
Academic year 2007-2008, EC402 – Methods of Economic Investigation (MSc in Economics), for Prof. Rajeev Dehejia and Dr. Christian Julliard.
Academic year 2006-2007, EC437 – Financial Econometrics, for Dr. Vassilis Hajivassiliou and EC400 – Introductory Courses in Maths and Statistics for MSc Students (Revision Maths and Maths for Micro), for Dr. Margaret Bray and Dr. Georg Weizsacker.
2004-2006: Graduate Teaching Assistant, Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science.
Academic year 2005-2006, EC210 – Macroeconomic Principles, for Dr. Javier Ortega and Dr. Eran Yashiv and EC400 – Introductory Courses in Maths and Statistics for MSc Students (Maths and Maths for Micro), for Dr. Margaret Bray and Dr. Gilat Levy.
Academic year 2004-2005, EC210 – Macroeconomic Principles, for Dr. Barbara Petrongolo and Dr. Eran Yashiv.
2002-2008: Assistant, Department of Economics, University of Minho.
Academic year 2002/2003, Stabilizing Economic Policies (MSc in Economic Policy), Macroeconomic Analysis I (BSc in Economics), Economics II (BSc in Management), Political Economy II (BSc in Public Administration).
2000-2002: Teaching Assistant, Department of Economics, University of Minho.
Academic year 2001/2002, Political Economy (BSc in Law).
Academic year 2000/2001, Macroeconomic Analysis (BSc in International Relations), Methods and Technics of Planning (BSc in Geology).
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE
2010: Visiting Researcher, Research Department, Central Bank of Portugal (Banco de Portugal).
2009: PhD Internship, International Policy Analysis Division (IPA), European Central Bank.
2008: PhD Internship, Monetary Policy Stance Division (MSN), European Central Bank.
2008: PhD Internship, Fiscal Policies Division (FIP), European Central Bank.
2008-present: Effective Member, Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE), University of Minho.
2006-present: Research Assistant, Financial Markets Group (FMG), London School of Economics and Political Science.
2000: Research Assistant, Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE), University of Minho. Research project: “Macroeconomic performance indicators of Cávado's NUT: comparative analysis with the major NUTS III of the Continent, the Continent and Galicia”.
1999-2000: Research Assistant, Applied Micreconomics Research Unit (NIMA), University of Minho. Research project: “Globalization and Social Exclusion”, European Comission, IV R&D Program, TSER Program.
RESEARCH
Research interests: Macroeconomics, Monetary and Fiscal Policy, International Economics,
Empirical Finance and Asset Pricing Modeling,
Dissertations:
Sousa, Ricardo M. (2008), Consumption, Housing and Financial Wealth, Asset Returns, and Monetary Policy, Thesis submitted to the Department of Economics of the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (PhD). Supervisors: Dr. Alexander Michaelides (LSE) and Dr. Christian Julliard (LSE).
Sousa, Ricardo M. (2002), Stock Market, Wealth, and Consumption, Thesis submitted to the Department of Economics of the University of Minho for the degree of Master of Philosophy (MPhil). Supervisor: Prof. Dolores Cabral (University of Minho).
Published Papers:
“Wealth, asset portfolio, money demand and policy rule”, Bulletin of
Economic Research, forthcoming.
“Consumption,
wealth, stock and government bond returns: international evidence”,
The Manchester School,
“Can fiscal policy stimulus boost economic recovery?”, Revue Économique, 2011, 62(6), 1045-1066. (with Luca Agnello)
“Does government spending crowd-out
private consumption and investment? Theory and some empirical evidence”,
World Economics,
“The consumption-wealth ratio and asset returns: The Euro Area, the UK and the US”, Journal of Money, Investment and Banking, 2010, 16, 12-29.
“Wealth effects on consumption: evidence from the euro area”, Banks and Bank Systems, 2010, 5(2), 78-87.
“How do consumption and asset returns react to wealth shocks: evidence from the U.S. and the U.K.”, The Empirical Economics Letters, 2010, 9(5), May.
Book Chapters:
“Collateralizable wealth, asset returns and systemic risk:
international evidence”, In: Barnett, W. A. and F. Jawadi (Eds.),
Nonlinear Modeling of Economic and Financial Time-Series, International
Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, 2010, 20, 1-27, Emerald Group
Publishing, London.
Working Papers:
“How does fiscal consolidation impact on income
inequality?”,
“Fiscal adjustments and income
inequality: A first assessment”, Banque de France, mimeo.
2011.
“Are stock and housing returns complements or substitutes? Evidence from OECD
countries”, CESifo Working
Paper
“Consumption, wealth, stock and housing returns: Evidence from emerging markets”, CESifo Working Paper No. 3601; DIW Berlin Working Paper No. 1159; Brunel University, Economics and Finance Working Paper No. 11-14; University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 32/2011. 2011. Submitted for publication. (with Guglielmo Maria Caporale)
“Fiscal policy discretion, private spending and crisis episodes”
“How do banking crises impact on income
inequality?”,
“Wealth-to-income ratio, housing
returns, and systemic risk”, University of Minho, mimeo. 2011. Submitted for
publication.
“How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?”,
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 24/2011. 2011.
“Wealth, labour income, stock returns and government bond yields, and financial stress in the Euro Area”, University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 22/2011. 2011.
“Asset returns under model uncertainty:
Evidence from the euro area, the U.K. and the U.S.”, Central Bank of Portugal,
Economic and Research Department Working Paper No. 201119; University of Minho, NIPE
Working Paper No. 21/2011. 2011. Submitted for publication.
“Do
windfall gains affect labour supply? Evidence from the European Household Panel",
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 20/2011. 2011. Submitted for
publication.
“Fiscal policy in the BRICs”, University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 19/2011. 2011. Submitted for publication. (with Fredj Jawadi and Sushanta K. Mallick)
“Monetary policy rules in the BRICS: How important is nonlinearity?”, University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 18/2011. 2011. Submitted for publication. (with Fredj Jawadi and Sushanta K. Mallick)
“The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone”, University of Minho,
NIPE Working Paper No. 12/2011. 2011.
“Can fiscal stimulus boost economic recovery?". Banque de France, Document de Travail No. 325. 2011. (with Luca Agnello)
“Fiscal
policy and asset prices".
University of Minho,
NIPE Working Paper No.
25/2010.
2010.
“Wealth, stock returns, government bond yields, and systemic risk”. University
of Minho, mimeo.
“Wealth-to-income ratio and government bond yields: Evidence from the Euro Area”. University of Minho, mimeo. 2010.
“Wealth-to-income ratio and stock returns: Evidence from the Euro Area”. University of Minho, mimeo. 2010.
“Wealth, asset returns, and systemic risk: International evidence”. University of Minho, mimeo. 2010.
"Wealth, asset portfolio, money demand and policy rule". University of Minho, mimeo. 2010.
“Collateralizable wealth, asset returns and systemic risk: international
evidence”.
University of Minho,
NIPE Working Paper No. 15/2010.
“How do consumption and asset returns react to wealth shocks: evidence from the U.S. and the U.K.”. University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 14/2010. 2010.
“Time-varying expected returns: evidence from the U.S. and the U.K.”.
University of Minho,
NIPE Working Paper No. 10/2010.
“The consumption-wealth ratio and asset returns: The
Euro Area, the UK and the US”, University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No.
9/2010.
“Monetary policy and economic activity in the BRICS”, University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper No. 27/2009. 2009. (with Sushanta K. Mallick)
"What are
the wealth effects of monetary policy?".
University of Minho, NIPE
Working Paper Nº. 26/2009.
"Fiscal regime shifts in Portugal".
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 25/2009; University of Barcelona,
Research Institute of Applied Economics, IREA Working Paper Nº. 200921;
ISEG-Technical University of Lisbon (UTL), Working Paper Nº.
41/2009/DE/UECE.
"Fundamentals, financial factors and the dynamics of investment in emerging
markets".
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 19/2009.
"Asset
prices, credit and investment in emerging markets".
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 18/2009.
“Wealth effects on consumption: evidence from the euro
area”.
European Central Bank, ECB Working Paper Nº. 1050;
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 12/2009.
"The determinants of public deficit volatility". European Central Bank, ECB Working Paper Nº. 1042; University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 11/2009. 2009. Submitted for publication. (with Luca Agnello)
“Assessing long-term fiscal developments: a new approach”.
European Central Bank, ECB
Working Paper Nº. 1032; University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº.
7/2009;
ISEG-Technical University of Lisbon (UTL), Working Paper Nº.
19/2009/DE/UECE.
“The impact of government spending on the private sector: crowding-out versus
crowding-in effects”.
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 6/2009.
“Wealth effects in emerging market economies”.
European Central Bank, ECB Working Paper Nº.
1000; University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 4/2009.
“The macroeconomic effects of fiscal
policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR analysis”.
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 3/2009;
ISEG-Technical University of Lisbon (UTL), Working Paper Nº.
9/2009/DE/UECE.
“Assessing long-term fiscal developments: evidence from Portugal”.
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 1/2009;
ISEG-Technical University of Lisbon (UTL), Working Paper Nº.
3/2009/DE/UECE.
“The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy”.
European Central Bank, ECB Working Paper Nº. 991;
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 22/2008;
ISEG-Technical University of Lisbon (UTL), Working Paper Nº.
56/2008/DE/UECE.
“Fiscal policy, housing and stock prices”.
European Central Bank, ECB Working Paper Nº. 990;
University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 21/2008;
ISEG-Technical University of Lisbon (UTL), Working Paper Nº.
58/2008/DE/UECE.
"Housing wealth, financial wealth, and monetary policy: Evidence from the euro area", European Central Bank, mimeo. 2008. (with Björn Fischer and Mika Tujula)
“Wealth shocks and risk aversion”.
London School of
Economics and Political Science, mimeo; University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper
Nº. 28/2007.
2010.
“Housing prices and monetary policy”. London School of Economics and Political Science, mimeo. 2008. (with Christian Julliard and Alexander Michaelides)
“Risks for the long-run and the cross-section of asset returns”. London School of Economics and Political Science, mimeo. 2008. (with Christian Julliard)
“Expectations, shocks and asset returns”. University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 29/2007. 2007.
“Consumption, (dis)aggregate wealth, and asset returns”. University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 9/2005. 2005.
"Property of stocks and wealth effects on consumption". University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 2/2003. 2003.
"Location, specialization, diversification indicators, and shift-share analysis: an application to the NUTIII of North Region in the period 1986-1998". University of Minho, NIPE Working Paper Nº. 13/2001. 2001. (with Dolores Cabral)
Research Grants:
Economic & Social Research Council (ESRC) Grant – RES-165-25-0024 (£254,415.37), (with Nobuhiro Kiyotaki (Princeton University), Alexander Michaelides (LSE) and Christian Julliard (LSE)): Home Ownership, Housing Collateral and Aggregate Fluctuations (September 2006 - August 2009).
Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation Grant (€740.00) (August 2009).
Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) Grant – POCI/EGE/58641/2004 (€36,910.00), (with Fernando Alexandre (University of Minho), Pedro Bação (University of Coimbra), Vasco Gabriel (University of Surrey), and John Driffill (Birkbeck College, University of London)): Monetary Policy and Wealth Effect on Consumption (August 2005 – July 2008).
Reports:
"Macroeconomic performance indicators – Cávado's Valley NUT: a comparative analysis with the major NUT III of the Continent, the Continent and Galiza; The municipalities of Cávado's Valley - a brief diagnosis”, Observatory for the Competitiveness and Life's Quality, Agency for the Regional Development of the Cávado's Valley (ADRVC), September. 2002. (with Dolores Cabral, Lisete Ramos and Paulo Mourão)
“Macroeconomic performance indicators - Cávado's Valley NUT: a comparative analysis with the major NUT III of the Continent, the Continent and Galiza”, Agency for the Regional Development of the Cávado's Valley (ADRVC) and the Ministry of Social Security and Labor, September. 2000. (with João Cadima Ribeiro and Dolores Cabral)
“Low
wages in Portugal”, NIMA – Applied
Microeconomics Research Unit and the Ministry
of Social Security and Labor, February. 2000.
Conferences:
2011 Annual Meeting of the European Financial Management Association, Braga (Portugal), 22nd-25th June 2011.
15th International Conference on Macroeconomic Analysis and International Finance, Rethymno (Greece), 26th-28th May 2011.
2011 Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society, Rennes (France), 28th April-1st May 2011.
37th Eastern Economic Association Annual Conference, Ramapo College of New Jersey, New York (USA), 25th-27th February 2011.
25th Meeting of the European Economic Association, Glasgow (Scotland), 23rd-26th August 2010.
6th Portuguese Finance Network, Ponta Delgada (Portugal), 1st-3rd July 2010.
4th Portuguese Economic Journal Conference, Faro (Portugal), 25th-26th June 2010.
Third Annual Brunel University PhD Conference in Economics and Finance, Brunel University, London (UK), 11th June 2010.
XVIII International “Tor Vergata” Banking and Finance Conference, University of Rome “Tor Vergata”, Rome (Italy), 2nd-4th December 2009.
Center for International Capital
Markets (CICM) Conference 2009, "
The Money Macro and Finance Research Group 4
International Conference "10 Years of the Euro: Adjustment in Capital and
Labour Markets", Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE), University of Minho,
Braga (Portugal), 7
XVI International “Tor Vergata” Banking and Finance Conference, University of Rome “Tor Vergata”, Rome (Italy), 5th-7th December 2007. Young Economist – BEST PAPER award.
12th International Conference in “Computing in Economics and Finance”, Society for Computational Economics, Limassol (Cyprus), 22nd -24th June 2006.
IV Meeting of Portuguese Language’ Economists, Évora (Portugal), 2nd-4th October 2001.
Seminars / Workshops:
Workshop "
NIPE Seminar Series, University of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 25th November 2009.
"Internal mini-workshop on fiscal and financial issues", Fiscal Policies Division (FIP), European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt (Germany), 11th May 2009.
"Economic Meeting", International Policy Analysis and Emerging Markets Division (IPA), European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt (Germany), 21st April 2009.
NIPE Seminar Series, University of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 9th January 2009.
Euro Area Business Cycle Network (EABCN) Workshop “Business Cycle Developments, Financial Fragility, Housing and Commodity Prices”, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), 21st-23rd November 2008.
NCB Expert Meeting on “Money demand”, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt (Germany), 14th November 2008.
NCB Expert Meeting on “Cross-checking based on financial flows”, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt (Germany), 20th October 2008.
International Policy Analysis Division (IPA) Seminar Series, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt (Germany), 14th October 2008.
Monetary Policy Stance Division (MSN) Seminar Series, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt (Germany), 13th October 2008.
Fiscal Policies Division (FIP) Seminar Series, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt (Germany), 8th July 2008.
Department of Economics Seminar Series, University of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 27th September 2007.
Money/Macro Work in Progress Seminar, London School of Economics and Political Science, London (UK), 23rd April 2007.
Money/Macro Work in Progress Seminar, London School of Economics and Political Science, London (UK), 28th November 2005.
Department of Economics Seminar Series, University of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 9th April 2003.
Department of Economics Seminar Series, Faculty of Economics of the University of Coimbra, Coimbra (Portugal), 26th March 2003.
Refereeing Activity:
Academic Affiliations:
University of Minho (UM); Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE); Financial Markets Group (FMG), London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).
Scientific Affiliations:
American Economic Association (AEA); American Finance Association (AFA); American Risk Insurance Association (ARIA); Econometric Society (ES); European Economic Association (EEA); Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA); Royal Economic Society (RES); Society of Computational Economics (SCA); Society for the Study of Emerging Markets (SSEM); Western Economic Association (WEA).
Other Affiliations:
LSE Alumni, London School of Economics and Political Science.
Summer Schools:
"Quantitative Methods in Macroeconomics and Policy Analysis", taught by Prof. Ellen McGrattan (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and University of Minnesota) and organized by Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE), University of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 2nd-4th July 2007.
"Globalization and Financial Markets”, Barcelona Macroeconomics Summer School – BMSS 2005 – taught by Prof. J. Ventura (University of Pompeu Fabra) and organized by Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI), University of Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona (Spain) 4th-8th July 2005.
"Methods for Estimating Dynamic General Equilibrium Models”, Barcelona Macroeconomics Summer School – BMSS 2004 – taught by Prof. F. Canova (University of Pompeu Fabra) and organized by Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI), University of Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona (Spain), 5th-9th July 2004.
"Quantitative Techniques", taught by Prof. Paul Schweinzer (Birkbeck College, University of London) and organized by Applied Micreconomics Research Unit (NIMA) and Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE), University of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 8th-12th July 2002.
Other:
Participation on the presentation session of the Undergraduate course in Economics of the University of Minho to D. Maria II Secondary School, Braga, 13th March 2003.
Participation on the presentation session of the School of Economics and Management of the University of Minho to Penafiel's Secundary School Nº. 1, 24th February 2003.
Participation of the Fifth Anniversary of NAECUM - Association of Students of Economics of the University of Minho, 8th May 2002, having presented several statistical and bibliographical databases and internet sites.
MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
2010-2011: Member of the Board, MSc in Economics, University of Minho.
2009-2011: Member of the Board, MSc in Monetary, Banking and Financial Economics, University of Minho.
2008-present: Member of the Board, Department of Economics, University of Minho.
2001-2002: Member of the group responsible for the publication of the Information Bulletin, Department of Economics, University of Minho.
2001-2002: Delegate of the Assistants and Teaching Assistants of Department of Economics, University of Minho.
AWARDS
Listed in the 2010 Edition of Marquis Who's Who in World.
XVI International “Tor Vergata” Conference on Banking and Finance - Young Economist – BEST PAPER award.
Tutorial Fellowship, London School of Economics and Political Science, 2006-2007.
PhD Scholarship, Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2003-2007.
“Fundação Engenheiro António de Almeida”, Foundation “Engenheiro António de Almeida”, best student of the BSc in Economics, University of Minho, 2000.
Merit Award, Portuguese Ministry of Education, best student of the BSc in Economics, University of Minho, 2000.
Merit Award, University of Minho, best student of the BSc in Economics, University of Minho, 1999.
Merit Award, University of Minho, best student of the BSc in Economics, University of Minho, 1998.
Merit Award, University of Minho, best student of the BSc in Economics, University of Minho, 1997.
KNOWLEDGE OF ECONOMETRIC/STATISTICAL SOFTWARE
R, Matlab, Stata, Gauss, E-Views, PcGive, Rats.
LANGUAGES
Portuguese (native), English (fluent), Spanish (fluent), Italian (fluent), French (good).
OTHER
Sports: surf, soccer, tennis.
Hobbies: karting, travelling, colection of stamps.