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Scientific Journals (Indexed in the Journal of Citation Reports or in Scopus):

 

41. "When do more selfish politicians manipulate less, not more?" European Journal of Political Economy, 77, 102320, March 2023. With Xue Wang (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China) and Frank Bohn (Radboud University, Holanda).

 

40. "The political economy of productivity growth." European Journal of Political Economy, 75, 102185, december 2022. With Fernando Alexandre (NIPE-U.Minho) and Pedro Bação (U.Coimbra).

            Data and replication files (zip).

 

39. "Fiscal forecast manipulations and electoral results: Evidence from Portuguese municipalities." Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice 36(2), 2021, 115-138. With Mamadou Boukari (U. Kara, Togo).

 

38. "Political forecast cycles", European Journal of Political Economy, 66, 101934, January 2021. With Frank Bohn (Radboud University).

 

37. "Key determinants of elite rivalry: theoretical insights and empirical evidence", Applied Economics 53(2), 2021, 277-291. With Elena Sochirca Neves (U. Beira Interior and NIPE-U.Minho).

 

36. "Political opportunism and countercyclical fiscal policy in election-year recessions." Economic Inquiry 57(4), October 2019, 2058-2081. With Frank Bohn (Radboud University).

 

35. "Elections, Recession Expectations and Excessive Debt: An Unholy Trinity." Public Choice 180(3-4), September 2019, 429–449 . With Frank Bohn (Radboud University).

            Online Appendix (pdf). Data (dta).

 

34. "Transparency, Policy Outcomes, and Incumbent Support." Kyklos 72(3), August 2019, 357-380. With Luís Aguiar-Conraria (NIPE-U.Minho) and Pedro C. Magalhães (ICS-U.Lisbon).

 

33.  “The effects of electoral incentives on fiscal policy: Evidence from a legislative change at the local government level.” Journal of Law, Economics & Organization  35(2), July 2019, 394–421 . With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).

            Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).

 

32. “Disentangling Political and Institutional Determinants of Budget Forecast Errors: A Comparative Approach.” Journal of Comparative Economics 46(4), December 2018, 1030-1045. With Mamadou Boukari (U. Lille).

            Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).

 

31. "Term limits and voter turnout" Electoral Studies 53, June 2018, 20-28. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).

            Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).

 

30. “Public numbers on monetary valuation of fish landings.” Data in Brief 17, april 2018, 184-188. With Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U. Lisbon) and Catarina Grilo (FCGulbenkian). Data article which refers to Goulart, Veiga e Grilo (2018, Fisheries Research).

 

29. “The evolution of fisheries in Portugal: a methodological reappraisal with insights from economics.” Fisheries Research 199, March 2018, 76-80. With Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U. Lisbon) and Catarina Grilo (FCGulbenkian).

 

28. "Political budget cycles and media freedom" Electoral Studies 45, February 2017, 88-99. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho) and Atsuyoshi Morozumi (U. Nottingham).

            Online Appendix (pdf). Data and replication files (zip).

 

27. "Public spending and growth: the role of government accountability." European Economic Review 89, October 2016, 148-171. With Atsuyoshi Morozumi (U. Nottingham).

            Online Appendix (pdf).  Data and replication files (zip). 

 

26. "Portuguese 2015 legislative elections: How economic voting, the median voter and unemployment led to 'the times they are a'changin'? " Electoral Studies 43, September 2016, 197-200. With Pedro Goulart (ISCSP-U.Lisbon).

 

25. "Does voter turnout affect the votes for the incumbent government?" European Journal of Political Economy 36, December 2014, 274-286. With Rodrigo Martins (U.Coimbra).

 

24. “Government size, composition of public expenditure, and economic development." Internationational Tax and Public Finance 21(4), August 2014, 578-597. With Susana Martins (U.Minho).

 

23. “Economic performance and turnout at national and local elections" Public Choice 157(3-4), December 2013, 429-448. With Rodrigo Martins (U. Coimbra and GEMF).

 

22. Financial globalization, convergence and growth: The role of foreign direct investment.” Journal of International Money and Finance 37, October 2013, 161-186. With Delfim Gomes Neto (NIPE - U. Minho).

 

21. “Intergovernmental fiscal transfers as pork barrel." Public Choice 155(3-4), June 2013, 335-353. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).

 

20. “Economic voting in Portuguese municipal elections." Public Choice 155(3-4), June 2013, 317-334. With Rodrigo Martins (U. Coimbra and GEMF).

 

19. "How does political instability affect economic growth?" European Journal of Political Economy 29, March 2013, 151-167. With Ari Aisen (International Monetary Fund).

        Data bases (annual and 5-year periods data), do-file and log-file of the Descriptive Statistics (Stata)

 

18. “Election results and opportunistic policies: A new test of the rational political business cycle model." Public Choice 148(1-2), July 2011, 21-44. With Toke Aidt (U. Cambridge) and Linda Gonçalves Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).

17. “The Impact of Local and National Economic Conditions on legislative Elections results.” Applied Economics 42(13), May-june 2010, 1727-1734. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).

 

16. “The political economy of seigniorage.” Journal of Development Economics 87(1), August 2008, 29-50. With Ari Aisen (IMF).

         Database (Stata format).

 

15. “Political instability and inflation volatility. Public Choice 135(3-4), June 2008, 207-223. With Ari Aisen (IMF).

 

14. "Why do stabilizations fail." Journal of Economic Policy Reform 11(2), June 2008, 135-149.

 

13. “Does opportunism pay off?” Economics Letters 96(2), August 2007, 177-182. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).

 

12. "Political business cycles at the municipal level.” Public Choice 131(1-2), April 2007, 45-64. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).

 

11. “Da li politička nestabilnost vodi ka višoj i promenljivijoj inflaciji? Analiza panel podataka”, Panoeconomicus 1/2007, 5-27. This article is a translation in Serbian language of Aisen and Veiga (2006, JMCB).

 

10. "Currency substitution, portfolio diversification and money demand." Canadian Journal of Economics 39(3), August 2006, 719-743. With Miguel Lebre de Freitas (NIPE and U. Aveiro).

 

9. "Does political instability lead to higher inflation? A panel data analysis."  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 38(5), August 2006, 1379-1389. With Ari Aisen (IMF).

         Database (Stata and Excel), description of the variables, do-files and log-files (Stata), and unpublished appendix.

 

8. “Political business cycles in local employment: Evidence from Portugal.” Economics Letters 93(1), October 2006, 82-87. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho)and César Coelho (NIPE).

 

7. “Eleitoralismo nos municípios portugueses” (Electoralism in Portuguese municipalities). Análise Social, XL(177), December 2005, 865-889. With Linda Gonçalves Veiga.

 

6. “Does IMF support accelerate inflation stabilization?Open Economies Review, 16(4), October 2005, 321-340.

 

5. "Political business cycles and inflation stabilization," Economics Letters 83(1), April 2004, 1-6. With Vítor Castro (NIPE and U. Coimbra).

 

4. "Popularity functions, partisan effects and support in Parliament," Economics & Politics, 16(1), March 2004, 101-115. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).

 

3. "The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal," Public Choice 118(3-4), March 2004, 341-364. With Linda G. Veiga (NIPE - U. Minho).

 

2. "Delays of inflation stabilizations", Economics and Politics, 12(3), November 2000, 275-295.

 

1. "What causes the failure of inflation stabilization plans?", Journal of International Money and Finance, 18(2), April 1999, 169-194.

 

 

 

Other articles, book chapters and proceedings with referees:

 

“Political budget cycles in Portuguese municipalities in the 21st century.” In Aurora Teixeira, Ana Paula Delgado, Luís Carvalho, Maria Isabel Mota, Maria Manuela Castro e Silva , coordinators. Estudos de Homenagem a José da Silva Costa. U.Porto Press, 2023. ISBN-13: 978-989-746-357-0.

“Instituições e o crescimento da economia portuguesa.” In Duarte, A. P., M. Simões, P. Bação and R. Morais, coordinators. Estudos de Homenagem a João Sousa Andrade. Almedina, Coimbra, May 2020, pp. 219-234.

 "Institutions, government stability and human capital accumulation." Revista de Economia e Agronegócio, 17(2), december 2019, 255-271. With Kézia de Lucas Bondezan e Joilson Dias (U. Estadual de Maringá, Brasil).

"Forecast errors in prices and wages: The experience with three Programme countries." Notas Económicas 44, julho de 2017, 7-24.

"Cooperação Territorial Europeia e Cultura em Portugal." Lusophone Journal of Cultural Studies 2(2), December 2014, 99-126. With Francisco Carballo-Cruz (NIPE-U.Minho) and Linda G. Veiga (NIPE-U.Minho).

“Instituições, estabilidade política e desempenho económico – implicações para Portugal.” In Alexandre, F., P. Bação, P. Lains, M.M.F. Martins, M. Portela e M. Simões, organizadores. A Economia Portuguesa na União Europeia: 1986-2010. Actual, Lisboa, March 2014, pp. 287-307.

“Solar emergy evaluation of the Portuguese economy.” In Brown, M.T., S. Sweeney, D.E. Campbell, S. Huang, D. Kang, T. Rydberg, D. Tilley and S. Ulgiati (eds). 2013. Emergy Synthesis 7: Theory and Applications of the Emergy Methodology. Proceedings of the 7th Biennial Emergy Conference. Center for Environmental Policy, University of Florida, Gainesville. Capítulo 49, pp. 437-451. With Carlos Oliveira, Cecília Martins e José Gonçalves. ISBN:  978-0-9707325-6-9. 

“Direitos e deveres económicos, sociais e culturais (Art. 58º a 79º) e Organização económica (Art. 80º a 107º)., in Tavares, J.A., M.P. Maduro, N. Garoupa e P. Magalhães, editores. A Constituição revista, Fundação Francisco Manuel dos Santos, Lisboa, April 2011. ISBN: 978-989-8424-28-0, pp. 33-36.

“Political Business Cycles”, in Kurian, G.T., J. Alt, S. Chambers, G. Garrett, M. Levi e P.D. McClain, editores. The Encyclopedia of Political Science, CQ Press, Outubro de 2010. ISBN: 978-1-933116-44-0, pp. 169-170.

 

“Economics, popularity and vote intentions in Portugal: A longitudinal analysis with aggregate data.” In Freire, André; Marina Costa Lobo and Pedro Magalhães, eds., Portugal at the Polls: The 2002 Legislative Elections, Lexington Books, Lanham, Maryland, 2007, 75-99. With Linda Gonçalves Veiga.

 

“Ciclos politico económicos nos municípios portugueses.” In Banco de Portugal,  Desenvolvimento Económico Português no Espaço Europeu, Banco de Portugal, Lisbon, 2006, pp. 93-118. With Linda Gonçalves Veiga.

 

“Economia, popularidade e intenções de voto em Portugal: uma análise longitudinal com dados agregados.“ In Freire, André, Marina Costa Lobo e Pedro Magalhães, eds., Portugal a Votos – As Eleições Legislativas de 2002, Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa, 2004, pp. 125-157. With Linda Gonçalves Veiga.

 

"Real Convergence in the European Union." In APDR, Perspectivas de Desenvolvimento para as Regiões Marítimas Europeias, APDR, Coimbra, 2000, vol. 2, 977-994.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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