Universidade do Minho |
Ricardo M. Sousa
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London School of Economics and Political
Science |
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Campus of
Gualtar 4710-057 - Braga - Portugal |
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Office:
EEG - 2.11
Phone: +351 253 601935
Fax: +351 253 676375
Email: rjsousa@eeg.uminho.pt, rjsousa@alumni.lse.ac.uk |
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I am an Associate
Professor with Habilitation at the Department of Economics, a Researcher at
the Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE) of the University of Minho, and an Associate
Editor of the Economic
Modelling. Previously, I worked as a Senior Economist at the Bank for
International Settlements (BIS) and the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), as an Economist at the Bank
of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB), and held
visiting positions at the Bank of Portugal and the International
Monetary Fund (IMF). I also taught at the London School of Economics
and Political Science (LSE) and the Queen Mary University of London.
I hold a PhD in
Economics from the London School of
Economics and Political Science and I am a member of the LSE Alumni
Association. At the LSE, I studied under the supervision of Alexander Michaelides (Department of Economics) and Christian Julliard (Department of Finance) and was affiliated at
the Financial Markets Group (FMG). I also hold a MPhil in
Economic Policy and a BSc in Economics from the University of Minho.
My main research interests are:
Macroeconomics, Monetary and Fiscal Policy, Empirical Finance and Asset Pricing
Models, International Finance, Corporate Finance, Housing Economics, Emerging
Market Economies, Macro-Econometrics and Quantitative Methods, Economic
Modeling, Bayesian Model Averaging and Bayesian Econometrics, Energy Economics,
Development and Growth, Political Economy, and Regional and Urban Economics.
I have published in international peer-reviewed
journals, such as Cambridge Journal of
Regions, Economy and Society, Computational Economics, Economic Inquiry, Energy
Economics, Energy Policy, European Journal of Political Economy, International
Review of Economics and Finance, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics,
Journal of Empirical Finance, Journal of Financial Stability, Journal of International
Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Journal of International Money and
Finance, Journal of Macroeconomics, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Real Estate Economics, and Review of International Economics.
My research has been covered in the media, including The Economist, The Telegraph, City A.M., Le
Monde, Jornal de Negócios, Público, CNN Portugal, ECO and RTPN.
Selected Publications:
Recent Working Papers:
Recent Conferences/Seminars:
·
7th
International Workshop on "Financial Markets and Nonlinear Dynamics"
(FMND), Paris (France), 1-2 June 2023.
·
University of Lille, Lille
(France), 27 February 2023. [online]
·
American
Economic Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, 7-9 January 2022. [online]
·
Coventry
University, Coventry (UK), 17 November 2021. [online]
·
EcoMod2021 - International Conference on Economic Modeling and Data
Science, ECOMOD Network and Center for European Studies (CefES),
7-9 July 2021. [online]
·
Nineteenth Annual Conference of the European Economics and Finance
Society (EEFS), City University of London and FernUniversität
Hagen, 23-25 June 2021. [online]
·
5th
International Workshop on "Financial Markets and Nonlinear Dynamics"
(FMND), Paris (France), 3-4 June 2021. [online]
·
37th
International Conference of the French Finance Association (AFFI), Nantes
(France), 26-28 May 2021. [online]
·
University
of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 20 September 2019.
·
7th UECE
Conference on Economic and Financial Adjustments, ISEG/UL – School of Economics
and Management / University of Lisbon, Lisbon (Portugal), 13 September 2019.
·
50th
Anniversary Conference of the Money, Macro & Finance (MMF) Group, London
School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), London (UK), 4-6 September
2019.
· 26th International Conference on "Forecasting Financial
Markets", Ca’ Foscari University, Venice (Italy), 19-21 June 2019.
· Eighteenth Annual Conference of the European Economics and Finance
Society (EEFS), University of Genoa, Genoa (Italy), 13-16 June 2019.
·
Fourth International Workshop on “Financial Markets
and Nonlinear Dynamics” (FMND), Paris (France), 31 May-1 June 2019.
·
Bank
of Italy, Rome (Italy), 10 April 2019.
·
National
Bank of Belgium, Brussels (Belgium), 3 April 2019.
·
University
of Lille, Lille (France), 5 February 2019.
·
Queen
Mary University of London, London (UK), 16 January 2019.
·
Birmingham
University, Birmingham (UK), 6 November 2018.
·
Loughborough
University, Loughborough (UK), 24 October 2018.
·
University
of Minho, Braga (Portugal), 20 July 2018.
·
Newcastle
University, Newcastle upon Tyne (UK), 15 May 2018.
·
Bank of England, London (UK), 4 May 2018.
·
European Central Bank, Frankfurt (Germany), 24 April
2018.
·
Fifth International Symposium in Computational
Economics and Finance (ISCEF), Paris (France), 12-14 April 2018.
·
King’s College London, London (UK), 25 October 2017.
Selected Media Coverage:
·
“BCE
dá tiro de partida em ciclo lento e incerto de descida de juros”, ECO,
06/06/2024.
·
“BCE
abranda o ritmo com juros a caminho de máximos de 22 anos”, ECO,
04/05/2023.
·
"Romance
entre governos e BCE a caminho do divórcio", ECO, 16/01/2023.
·
"Mais
uma subida jumbo nos juros do BCE. Será a última?", ECO,
27/10/2022.
·
"BCE dá tiro de partida para subidas consecutivas de
juros", ECO, 09/06/2022.
·
"Um a um, governadores do BCE vão encostando Lagarde à parede", ECO, 12/02/2022.
·
“Inflação: uma análise ao indicador que pode mudar a vida
de muita gente”, CNN Portugal, 06/02/2022.
·
“Juros
olham para Frankfurt e viram a cara a São Bento”, Jornal de Negócios, 28/10/2021.
·
"Portugal
pode “esfregar as mãos” com uma postura mais gastadora do BCE", Jornal
de Negócios, 22/07/2021.
·
"Revisão
do BCE posta à prova com divisão por trás da cortina", Jornal
de Negócios, 22/07/2021.
·
"BCE
volta a mandar os juros de dívida da Zona Euro para baixo", Jornal
de Negócios, 21/07/2021.
·
“Revolução
das moedas digitais põe bancos centrais no “olho do furacão””, Jornal
de Negócios, 24/05/2021.
·
“Será
o BCE capaz de largar a mão sem provocar outra crise?”, Jornal
de Negócios, 11/03/2021.
·
“O
ano em que o BCE aprendeu com o passado”, Jornal de Negócios, 11/03/2021.
·
“Nem
todo o BCE gosta de ouvir Daft Punk”, Jornal
de Negócios, 11/03/2021.
·
"Dépendante du tourisme,
l'économie portugaise ébranlée par la pandémie de
Covid-19", Le Monde, 23/01/2021.
·
“Lagarde tem presente no sapatinho para mercados”, Jornal
de Negócios, 10/12/2020.
·
“Bazuca
monetária levou juros de Portugal para abaixo de 0%”, Jornal de Negócios, 10/12/2020.
·
“BCE
sem união para seguir Fed, para já”, Jornal
de Negócios, 10/09/2020.
·
“Fed olha por Main Street, mas
premeia Wall Street”, Jornal de Negócios, 01/09/2020.
·
“A
velha luta da Fed pela inflação, com nova linguagem”,
Jornal
de Negócios, 01/09/2020.
·
“Ricardo
Sousa sobre o BCE: “O ‘helicopter money’
seria uma boa solução””, Jornal de Negócios, 04/06/2020.
·
“A
resposta europeia à pandemia: um “castelo de cartas”?”, Público,
11/04/2020.
·
“Suspensão
das bolsas: solução efetiva ou o adiar do problema?”, Jornal de Negócios, 18/03/2020.
·
“Índices
europeus cabem na cova de um dente do S&P 500”, Jornal de Negócios, 09/03/2020.
·
“Os
20 anos do euro: o problema das lentes a “preto e zero””, Público,
23/10/2019.
·
“Les limites du miracle portugais”, Le Monde, 03/10/2019.
·
“The
gap between poor and rich regions in Europe is widening: Austerity is partly to
blame”, The Economist, 2016, October 29th – November 4th,
p.22.
·
“To
revive the economy, cut spending”, The Telegraph, 204/04/2013.
·
“Increasing
income inequality: Side-effect of fight against crises?”, Calgary
Real Estate, 20/12/2011.
·
“99
percenters hurt more by austerity measures than the 1 percent: Study”, The
Huffington Post, 29/11/2011.
·
“The
weekly papers: Interesting economics research”, The Economist, Blog "Free Exchange", 07/12/2011.
·
“Impactos
dos cortes: Corte nos salários da função pública prejudica dívida pública”,
Público, 27/12/2010.
·
“Far from the meddling crowd:
Economists struggle to answer a vital question”, The Economist, 2010, October 30th – November 5th, p.76.
·
“The
housing wealth effect: Falling prices don’t crimp consumption”, The
Economist, Blog "Free Exchange", 19/08/2009.